It’s finally Oscars Day, my favorite day of the year (just so that you get my excitement, it’s like my birthday and Christmas combined). Tonight all the questions we’ve been making during the awards season will be answered: how many Oscars will La La Land win? Will it break a record like at the Golden Globes? Will Barry Jenkins’ poetic masterpiece Moonlight spoil La La Land’s big night? In a previous entry, I predicted the winners of the main categories, based on articles by some of the main film outlets in the Internet, today I’m giving my final predictions in all 24 categories.
Best Picture: La La Land – After earning a record-tying 14 Oscar nominations and winning a record-breaking 7 Golden Globes, La La Land is most definitely going to take home Best Picture. The only threat is Barry Jenkins’ Moonlight, a movie that has gained momentum throughout the awards season.
Best Director: Damien Chazelle – The 32-year-old director is set to take home the awards for best directorial achievement after winning every major award this year. Again, the only alternative would be Barry Jenkins, but his win would be rather unlikely.
Best Actor in a Leading Role: Casey Affleck – Although not being the favorite on several polls who give the award to Denzel Washington, Affleck has been the frontrunner during most of the awards season, and has taken home major awards such as the Golden Globe and the Bafta. The race for Best Actor is the most uncertain of the major categories so anything can happen.
Best Actress in a Leading Role: Emma Stone – After winning every major awards and being one of the Academy’s sweethearts, it seems clear and inevitable that Stone will win the major award. If anyone could beat her, it would be Isabelle Huppert for her performance in Elle, which is considered by many critics the best of the year.
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali – Ali’s subtle yet nuanced performance is incredible. Despite only being in the first part of Moonlight, his portrayal of drug dealer Juan is outstanding. His win is only threatened by the fact he hasn’t won two of the major awards, the BAFTA (Dev Patel) and the Golden Globe (Aaron Taylor-Johnson), but again, no pool gives any other actor a chance.
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis – Unquestionably the queen of this awards season, Viola Davis has been unstoppable. I’m not even going to write alternatives because a major catastrophe should happen for her not to win this long-awaited award, her first (but not last) Oscar.
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan’s screenplay is super and leads all the polls. La La Land is the only alternative, after winning the Golden Globe.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight – Barry Jenkins is most likely going to win the award for the adaptation of his semi-autobiographical unproduced play In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue. Only Hidden Figures or Lion could take the award.
Best Animated Feature Film: Zootopia – It seems like Disney is going to take this one, although Kubo and the Two Strings has become a voters’ favorite for its innovative style (and let’s not forget Kubo recently won the BAFTA).
Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman – Probably the most difficult category to pick, and I may be wrong. Asghar Farhadi’s film may have profited from Donald Trump controversial immigration ban, after the director decided to boycott the Oscars to protest the discrimination against citizens from seven countries, among which Iran. However, Toni Edmann has garnered great reviews in the US and Europe, and the recent plans to make an American remake starring Jack Nicholson may just be enough to give this German film the award.
Best Documentary Feature: O.J: Made in America – With a run time of 7,5 hours, this documentary about O.J Simpson tackles controversial topics such as race, crime and celebrity culture. Nonetheless, this year’s documentary race is extremely close so 13th or I Am Not Your Negro, both critically acclaimed could take the award home.
Best Documentary Short: White Helmets – I’m actually torn between this one and Watani: My Homeland, both tackling the Syrian War.
Best Live Action Short Film: Ennemis Intérieurs – This one may be the most painful for me personally since I’ve been rooting for Juanjo Giménez’s Timecode since the beginning of the awards season. I just hope that the winner of the Palme d’Or for Best Short Film unexpectedly wins.
Best Animated Short Film: Pearl – The first VR film nominated for an Academy Award is set to win in this category, hopefully beginning a new trend in Hollywood. Piper or Pear Cider and Cigarretes are unlikely to take the award.
Best Original Score: La La Land – Despite many great soundtracks this year (Jackie, Moonlight, Lion…) this one is a safe bet for La La Land.
Best Original Song: City of Stars – Again, a safe bet, only threatened by Moana’s How Far I’ll Go.
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge – Not my area of specialty, but Hacksaw Ridge is the favorite to win the award after its triumph at the Motion Picture Sound Editor awards. La La Land is the other contender who could take home Sound Editing.
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land – Chazelle’s movie is likely to take this one. Hacksaw Ridge is the main alternative.
Best Cinematography: La La Land – A close race in this category, with Arrival posing a serious threat to Chazelle’s musical.
Best Production Design: La La Land – La La Land should take the award, but Arrival and Fantastic Beasts are a real threat.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond – Suicide Squad received unanimous negative reviews and A Man Called Ove is incredible but foreign and very low budget so Star Trek Beyond may be the safest pick in this category.
Best Costume Design: Jackie – After winning the BAFTA and the Critics’ Choice, Jackie seems destined to win, especially since films featuring contemporary clothing rarely succeed in this category (which would eliminate La La Land, the runner-up according to most polls). Besides, it would just be fair that Larrain’s biopic on the Former First Lady of the United States took home one of the awards of the night.
Best Film Editing: La La Land – This is another extremely close race between La La Land and Hacksaw Ridge, but considering that musicals and music films such as Chicago and Whiplash have done well in the past, Chazelle’s film may take the award.
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book – After winning five Visual Effects Society Awards (including the top prize), as well as the BAFTA and the Critics’ Choice, the Jungle Book seems destined to beat runner-up Rogue One: A Star Wars Story.
La La Land: 9 Oscars
Moonlight: 2 Oscars
Manchester by the Sea: 2 Oscars
Fences: 1 Oscars
Hacksaw Ridge: 1 Oscar
Jackie: 1 Oscar
Zootopia: 1 Oscar
The Jungle Book: 1 Oscar
Star Trek Beyond: 1 Oscar
The Salesman: 1 Oscar
O.J: Made in America: 1 Oscar
White Helmets: 1 Oscar
Ennemis Intérieurs: 1 Oscar
Pearl: 1 Oscar